Barcelona x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for April 9 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 9/4/2025 19:00 |
 Barcelona1.36 |
X 5.25 |
Borussia Dortmund  7.23 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Barcelona x Borussia Dortmund:
🔮 Barcelona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $680.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Barcelona x Borussia Dortmund: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $14.0. |
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Analysis from Barcelona x Borussia Dortmund for the UEFA Champions League – 9 of April
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🏟️ Barcelona X Borussia Dortmund – UEFA Champions League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Barcelona x Borussia Dortmund right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1300004 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Barcelona x Borussia Dortmund
Should you bet on Barcelona?
🔵 Barcelona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 94.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 950 times – profiting $342.00;
- And would lose other 50 times – having a loss of -$50.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$292.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $170.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$790.00.
Is it worth betting on Borussia Dortmund?
🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $124.60
- And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$855.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona x Borussia Dortmund
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Barcelona
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona x Borussia Dortmund
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Barcelona, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Barcelona.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Barcelona.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona x Borussia Dortmund
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
