Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos Betting tips for February 24 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos, Tuesday, 24/2/2026

📅 24/2/2026 20:00

Bayer Leverkusen 1.72

X 3.80

Olympiacos 4.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos:

🔮 Olympiacos wins the match
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The main points for the tip for Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Olympiacos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-20.0.
👉 Bayer Leverkusen did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Bayer Leverkusen matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Bayer Leverkusen is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.
👉 Bayer Leverkusen is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Olympiacos has not lost any of them.

🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympiacos:

Lets analyze the match between Bayer Leverkusen and Olympiacos at BayArena, Leverkusens home ground, which has shown strength playing on their turf. Bayer has scored 12 goals in the last 5 home games, conceding only 4, with a record of 4 wins and just one loss. Olympiacos has a good away record with 3 wins and no losses in the last 5 away matches, averaging about the same number of goals as Leverkusen (2 per game), but has conceded fewer goals (0 on average). Ball possession favors the German team (61% vs 54%), as do accurate shots (5 each side), but Olympiacos commits more fouls and receives more yellow cards.

The median odds clearly favor Bayer Leverkusen: win at 1.71, draw at 3.8, and Olympiacos win at 4.5. Converting these odds into implied probabilities gives approximately: Leverkusen win ~55%, draw ~24%, Olympiacos win ~21%. Considering Bayers solid offensive stats at home and their advantage in possession control, along with playing at BayArena — their usual stadium — this distribution makes sense.

The Bets Kenya model suggests higher predicted odds for the home team (2.27), indicating a lower chance of their victory (~44%), while giving a higher chance to the visiting team (~31%) with a predicted odds lower than the actual market odds (3.20 vs 4.50). This creates a positive expected value only on betting for the visitor (+40%).

However, recent news 📰 shows Bayer strengthened their squad after an important injury to the starting goalkeeper and already beat this same opponent by two goals in the previous Champions League phase; additionally, promising young talents are joining the squad — all of this boosts their morale to maintain dominance in this decisive match.

📈 In the European league table, the Germans are in a comfortable position aiming to advance to the knockout stages, while the Greeks need to perform much better despite key absences due to injuries or suspensions mentioned in the news; this tends to favor the home team both psychologically and tactically.

Based on this, my analysis suggests that fair probabilities should be adjusted to approximately: Bayer Leverkusen victory ~58%, draw ~22%, Olympiacos victory ~20%. Fair odds would then be around: 1.72 for Leverkusen, 4.55 for a draw, and 5 or more for Olympiacos.

Betting on the visitor here seems too risky given the current scenario of the teams; betting on the home team’s victory offers reasonable value considering their dominant home stats + recent reinforcements + psychological advantage from the already secured qualification.

Suggestion:
The recommended bet is on Bayer Leverkusen victory, as despite the offered odds being low (~1.73), they accurately reflect their true favoritism based on technical analysis and recent news.
The calculated expected value is positive if we consider a fair probability above the current pessimistic models about them (Estimated E.V > +10%). Avoid bets on the draw or visiting team due to the evident risks from key absences of the visitors.

Let’s take advantage of this safe opportunity! ⚽🔥

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Analysis from Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos for the UEFA Champions League – 24 of February

The latest news about Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Bayer 04 Leverkusen has been active on multiple fronts: the club secured the loan of goalkeeper Jonas Omlin from Borussia Mönchengladbach after the first-choice keeper Mark Flekken suffered a long-term injury, adding to the goalkeeping trio with Janis Blaswich and Niklas Lomb, and also expedited the return of defender Tim Oermann, who was loaned to Sturm Graz; 17-year-old Serbian forward Aleksa Damjanović was signed from Red Star Belgrade and is considered one of the most promising talents in European attack. In the Champions League, Patrik Schick scored two goals in the 2-0 victory over Olympiakos in Piraeus, securing Leverkusen’s spot in the knockout stages. In the women’s team, new goalkeeper Rafaela Borggräfe has been standing out, the team celebrated a victory in the derby against 1. FC Köln, and forward Vanessa Fudalla remains out of the national team despite good performances in the league.

Olympiacos: Olympiacos entered the UEFA Champions League knockout phase against Bayer Leverkusen on February 18, 2026, losing 0-2 in the first leg, with Patrik Schick scoring both goals, and despite an early chance by Gelson Martins, the Greek team couldn’t find the net; the squad was affected by the prolonged absence of midfielder Theofanis Bakoulas, who suffers a serious knee injury, and there are doubts about defender Francisco Ortega and forward Mehdi Taremi, who missed the last league match against Levadiakos and has a yellow card that could lead to suspension, while Santiago Hezze and Dani Garcia are also listed as questionable. Additionally, the club’s U-19 team won 4-0 against Panetolikos U19 on February 21, and Olympiacos B is scheduled to face PS Kalamata in Super League 2 later this week.

Table analysis for the game between Bayer Leverkusen and Olympiacos

Bayer Leverkusen: Bayer Leverkusen is in 16th place with 12 points and a negative goal difference (-1), in a UEFA Champions League table where the fight for qualification to the next stages is very tight. With points still at stake and the position close to the qualification cutoff for the playoffs, this game is important for Leverkusen to try to climb the table and secure their stay or even improve their position, avoiding the risk of early elimination. The pressure to earn points is high, so a good result at home could be decisive in keeping their hopes alive. ⚽🔥

Olympiacos: Olympiacos is in 18th place, with 11 points and a negative goal difference (-4). They are also close to the danger zone, needing points to secure their place and try to surpass direct competitors. Being in a similar situation as Leverkusen and with real gains possible in this matchup, the game is crucial for Olympiacos to avoid complications and continue fighting for better positions in the competition. Every point counts to move away from elimination. ⚔️

Summary: The match between Bayer Leverkusen and Olympiacos is important for both teams, which are fighting to stay in the race for UEFA Champions League playoffs spots. A victory could be a decisive step forward in the standings, making this confrontation very competitive and essential for the ambitions of both teams. 🏆

Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bayer Leverkusen and Olympiacos.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1486078 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is betting on Bayer Leverkusen worth it?

🔵 Bayer Leverkusen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $302.40
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$277.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $644.00;
• And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$126.00.

Is betting on Olympiacos worth it?

🔴 Olympiacos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $1190.00
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$540.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bayer Leverkusen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Bayer Leverkusen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Bayer Leverkusen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Olympiacos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the tip for Bayer Leverkusen x Olympiacos