Bayern Munich x Dinamo Zagreb Betting tips for September 17 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Bayern Munich x Dinamo Zagreb, Tuesday, 17/9/2024

📅 17/9/2024 16:00

Bayern Munich 1.14

X 8.50

Dinamo Zagreb 16.75

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bayern Munich x Dinamo Zagreb:

🔮 Dinamo Zagreb wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dinamo Zagreb, you can win up to $8375.00!

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The main points for the tip for Bayern Munich x Dinamo Zagreb: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayern Munich in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-8.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dinamo Zagreb in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $383.0. 👉 Bayern Munich did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Bayern Munich scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Dinamo Zagreb scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Bayern Munich is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 67.00% of possession. 👉 Bayern Munich is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Dinamo Zagreb has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Bayern Munich x Dinamo Zagreb for the UEFA Champions League – 17 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bayern Munich x Dinamo Zagreb right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1182317 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bayern Munich x Dinamo Zagreb

Is it a good idea to bet on Bayern Munich?

🔵 Bayern Munich: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.14. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 870 times – profiting $121.80;
• And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$8.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $225.00;
• And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$745.00.

Is betting on Dinamo Zagreb worth it?

🔴 Dinamo Zagreb: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 16.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $1417.50
• And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$507.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bayern Munich x Dinamo Zagreb

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Bayern Munich
⚽ Expected goals: 4.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayern Munich x Dinamo Zagreb

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.5 Bayern Munich, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.25 Bayern Munich.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.25 Bayern Munich.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayern Munich x Dinamo Zagreb

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 4.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.