Bayern Munich x PSG Betting tips for November 26 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Bayern Munich x PSG, Tuesday, 26/11/2024

📅 26/11/2024 20:00

Bayern Munich 1.63

X 4.30

PSG 4.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bayern Munich x PSG:

🔮 Bayern Munich wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayern Munich, you can win up to $815.00!

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The main points for the tip for Bayern Munich x PSG: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayern Munich in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-8.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 Bayern Munich did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Bayern Munich scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against PSG, Bayern Munich scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Bayern Munich is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 7 home matches, it had at least 66.00% of possession. 👉 PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 5 away matches, it had at least 65.00% of possession. 👉 Bayern Munich is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, PSG has not lost any of them.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Bayern Munich x PSG?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Bayern Munich x PSG:

Analysis from Bayern Munich x PSG for the UEFA Champions League – 26 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bayern Munich x PSG right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1227868 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bayern Munich x PSG

Is it a good idea to bet on Bayern Munich?

🔵 Bayern Munich: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 870 times – profiting $548.10;
• And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$418.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $198.00;
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$742.00.

Is it worth betting on PSG?

🔴 PSG: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $252.00
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$678.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bayern Munich x PSG

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Bayern Munich
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayern Munich x PSG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Bayern Munich, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Bayern Munich.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Bayern Munich.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayern Munich x PSG

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.