Benfica x Bologna Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 11/12/2024 20:00 |
 Benfica1.57 |
X 4.10 |
Bologna  5.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Benfica x Bologna:
🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $785.00!
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The main points for the tip for Benfica x Bologna: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $181.0. |
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Analysis from Benfica x Bologna for the UEFA Champions League – 11 of December
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🏟️ Benfica X Bologna – UEFA Champions League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Benfica and Bologna.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1235636 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Benfica x Bologna
Is it a good idea to bet on Benfica?
🔵 Benfica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 79.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.57. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 800 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
- And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$256.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $465.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$385.00.
Should you bet on Bologna?
🔴 Bologna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – profiting $225.00;
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$725.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Benfica x Bologna
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benfica x Bologna
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Benfica, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Benfica.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Benfica.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benfica x Bologna
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
