Benfica x Feyenoord Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Benfica x Feyenoord, Wednesday, 23/10/2024

📅 23/10/2024 19:00

Benfica 1.60

X 4.20

Feyenoord 4.97

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Benfica x Feyenoord:

🔮 Benfica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Benfica, you can win up to $800.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Benfica x Feyenoord: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $246.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Feyenoord in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Benfica scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Feyenoord scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Benfica matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Feyenoord conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Benfica is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Feyenoord has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Benfica x Feyenoord for the UEFA Champions League – 23 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Benfica x Feyenoord right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207665 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Benfica x Feyenoord

Should you bet on Benfica?

🔵 Benfica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
• And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$232.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – profiting $384.00;
• And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$496.00.

Should you bet on Feyenoord?

🔴 Feyenoord: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.97. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $476.40
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$403.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Benfica x Feyenoord

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Benfica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Benfica x Feyenoord

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Benfica, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Benfica.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Benfica.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Benfica x Feyenoord

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.