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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Bologna x Lille Betting tips for November 27 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
Bologna Bologna
PREDICTION Bologna wins Probability 45% 1 X 2
Lille Lille
ODD: @2.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Bologna x Lille Betting tips for November 27 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Bologna x Lille, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
20:00
Bologna Bologna
2.50
X
3.30
Lille Lille
2.78

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bologna x Lille:

🔮 Bologna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bologna, you can win up to $1250.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Bologna x Lille:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $615.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lille scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Bologna matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Lille has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Bologna x Lille?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bologna x Lille, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bologna x Lille for the UEFA Champions League – 27 of November

🏟️ Bologna X Lille – UEFA Champions League
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Bologna – Winning probability: 45.59% | Fair line: 2.19
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.45% | Fair line: 3.78
🔴 Lille – Winning probability: 27.96% | Fair line: 3.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bologna x Lille right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bologna x Lille

Is it worth betting on Bologna?

🔵 Bologna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $690.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$150.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lille?

🔴 Lille: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $498.40;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$221.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bologna x Lille

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bologna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bologna x Lille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Bologna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Bologna.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Bologna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bologna x Lille

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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