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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Braga x Maccabi Petach Tikva Betting tips for July 25 in UEFA Europa League Qualifying
Thursday, 25 July 2024, 16h30 UEFA Europa League Qualifying
Braga Braga
PREDICTION Braga wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
Maccabi Petach Tikva Maccabi Petach Tikva
ODD: @1.29 Don't miss this prediction!

Braga x Maccabi Petach Tikva Betting tips for July 25 in UEFA Europa League Qualifying

Our betting tip for Braga x Maccabi Petach Tikva, Thursday, 25/7/2024
📅 25/7/2024
16:30
Braga Braga
1.29
X
5.00
Maccabi Petach Tikva Maccabi Petach Tikva
8.44

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Braga x Maccabi Petach Tikva:

🔮 Braga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Braga, you can win up to $645.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Braga x Maccabi Petach Tikva:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Maccabi Petach Tikva in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-12.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Braga conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Braga x Maccabi Petach Tikva for the UEFA Europa League Qualifying – 25 of July

🏟️ Braga X Maccabi Petach Tikva – UEFA Europa League Qualifying
📅 25 of July, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Braga – Winning probability: 98.09% | Fair line: 1.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.00% | Fair line: 100.46
🔴 Maccabi Petach Tikva – Winning probability: 0.91% | Fair line: 109.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Braga and Maccabi Petach Tikva.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1150439 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Braga x Maccabi Petach Tikva

Should you bet on Braga?

🔵 Braga: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 98.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 980 times – profiting $284.20;
  • And would lose other 20 times – having a loss of -$20.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$264.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $40.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$950.00.

Should you bet on Maccabi Petach Tikva?

🔴 Maccabi Petach Tikva: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $74.40
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$915.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Braga x Maccabi Petach Tikva

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Braga
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga x Maccabi Petach Tikva

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Braga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Braga.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga x Maccabi Petach Tikva

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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