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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Brest x SK Sturm Graz Betting tips for September 19 in UEFA Champions League
Thursday, 19 September 2024, 16h00 UEFA Champions League
Brest Brest
PREDICTION Brest wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
SK Sturm Graz SK Sturm Graz
ODD: @1.91 Don't miss this prediction!

Brest x SK Sturm Graz Betting tips for September 19 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Brest x SK Sturm Graz, Thursday, 19/9/2024
📅 19/9/2024
16:00
Brest Brest
1.91
X
3.51
SK Sturm Graz SK Sturm Graz
3.98

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Brest x SK Sturm Graz:

🔮 Brest wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brest, you can win up to $955.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Brest x SK Sturm Graz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-195.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SK Sturm Graz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $46.0.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Brest x SK Sturm Graz for the UEFA Champions League – 19 of September

🏟️ Brest X SK Sturm Graz – UEFA Champions League
📅 19 of September, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Brest – Winning probability: 61.02% | Fair line: 1.64
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.75% | Fair line: 7.84
🔴 SK Sturm Graz – Winning probability: 26.22% | Fair line: 3.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brest x SK Sturm Graz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184054 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brest x SK Sturm Graz

Should you bet on Brest?

🔵 Brest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $555.10;
  • And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$165.10.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $326.30;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$543.70.

Is betting on SK Sturm Graz worth it?

🔴 SK Sturm Graz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $774.80
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$34.80, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Brest x SK Sturm Graz

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brest x SK Sturm Graz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Brest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Brest.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 SK Sturm Graz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brest x SK Sturm Graz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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