Club Brugge x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for September 18 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 18/9/2024 16:00 |
 Club Brugge3.95 |
X 3.75 |
Borussia Dortmund  1.86 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Club Brugge x Borussia Dortmund:
🔮 Club Brugge wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club Brugge, you can win up to $1975.00!
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Important information for your tip for Club Brugge x Borussia Dortmund: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Brugge in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $28.0. |
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Analysis from Club Brugge x Borussia Dortmund for the UEFA Champions League – 18 of September
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🏟️ Club Brugge X Borussia Dortmund – UEFA Champions League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Club Brugge x Borussia Dortmund right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1183677 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Club Brugge x Borussia Dortmund
Should you bet on Club Brugge?
🔵 Club Brugge: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $855.50;
- And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$145.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $550.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$250.00.
Is betting on Borussia Dortmund worth it?
🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $438.60;
- And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$51.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Club Brugge x Borussia Dortmund
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Club Brugge
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Brugge x Borussia Dortmund
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Club Brugge, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Club Brugge.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Borussia Dortmund.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Brugge x Borussia Dortmund
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
