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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Dinamo Zagreb x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for November 27 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
PREDICTION Borussia Dortmund Wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
ODD: @1.71 Don't miss this prediction!

Dinamo Zagreb x Borussia Dortmund Betting tips for November 27 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Dinamo Zagreb x Borussia Dortmund, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
20:00
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
4.40
X
4.05
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
1.71

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Dinamo Zagreb x Borussia Dortmund:

🔮 Borussia Dortmund wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Borussia Dortmund, you can win up to $855.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Dinamo Zagreb x Borussia Dortmund:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Dinamo Zagreb in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-378.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Borussia Dortmund in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Borussia Dortmund conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Borussia Dortmund as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Dinamo Zagreb x Borussia Dortmund?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Dinamo Zagreb x Borussia Dortmund, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Dinamo Zagreb x Borussia Dortmund for the UEFA Champions League – 27 of November

🏟️ Dinamo Zagreb X Borussia Dortmund – UEFA Champions League
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Dinamo Zagreb – Winning probability: 12.35% | Fair line: 8.1
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.05% | Fair line: 7.66
🔴 Borussia Dortmund – Winning probability: 74.60% | Fair line: 1.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Dinamo Zagreb
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Borussia Dortmund.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1228778 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dinamo Zagreb x Borussia Dortmund

Is it worth betting on Dinamo Zagreb?

🔵 Dinamo Zagreb: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $408.00
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$472.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $396.50;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$473.50.

Should you bet on Borussia Dortmund?

🔴 Borussia Dortmund: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – profiting $532.50;
  • And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$282.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dinamo Zagreb x Borussia Dortmund

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Dinamo Zagreb
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dinamo Zagreb x Borussia Dortmund

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Dinamo Zagreb and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Dinamo Zagreb. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dinamo Zagreb x Borussia Dortmund

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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