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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป FC Salzburg x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for January 29 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 29 January 2025, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
FC Salzburg FC Salzburg
PREDICTION Atletico Madrid Wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Salzburg x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for January 29 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for FC Salzburg x Atletico Madrid, Wednesday, 29/1/2025
๐Ÿ“… 29/1/2025
20:00
FC Salzburg FC Salzburg
6.50
X
4.55
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
1.44

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Salzburg x Atletico Madrid:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Atletico Madrid wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $720.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for FC Salzburg x Atletico Madrid:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Salzburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-375.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $272.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 FC Salzburg matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on FC Salzburg x Atletico Madrid?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on FC Salzburg x Atletico Madrid:

Analysis from FC Salzburg x Atletico Madrid for the UEFA Champions League โ€“ 29 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ FC Salzburg X Atletico Madrid โ€“ UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 29 of January, 2025 โ€“ 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต FC Salzburg โ€“ Winning probability: 8.20% | Fair line: 12.2
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 5.04% | Fair line: 19.86
๐Ÿ”ด Atletico Madrid โ€“ Winning probability: 86.77% | Fair line: 1.15
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: +0.75 FC Salzburg
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Salzburg and Atletico Madrid.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1253725 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Salzburg x Atletico Madrid

Should you bet on FC Salzburg?

๐Ÿ”ต FC Salzburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $440.00
  • And would lose other 920 times โ€“ losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$480.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $177.50
  • And would lose other 950 times โ€“ having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$772.50.

Should you bet on Atletico Madrid?

๐Ÿ”ด Atletico Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 870 times โ€“ having a profit of $382.80;
  • And would have lost other 130 times โ€“ with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$252.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Salzburg x Atletico Madrid

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: +0.75 FC Salzburg
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for FC Salzburg x Atletico Madrid

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 FC Salzburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 FC Salzburg.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: +1.0 FC Salzburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Salzburg x Atletico Madrid

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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