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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 23 October 2024, 19h00 UEFA Champions League
FC Salzburg FC Salzburg
PREDICTION FC Salzburg wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb Betting tips for October 23 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb, Wednesday, 23/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 23/10/2024
19:00
FC Salzburg FC Salzburg
1.65
X
4.00
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
4.68

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb:

๐Ÿ”ฎ FC Salzburg wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Salzburg, you can win up to $825.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Salzburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-97.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Dinamo Zagreb in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-249.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Dinamo Zagreb scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Dinamo Zagreb, FC Salzburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Dinamo Zagreb has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb for the UEFA Champions League – 23 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ FC Salzburg X Dinamo Zagreb – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 23 of October, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต FC Salzburg – Winning probability: 82.46% | Fair line: 1.21
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.83% | Fair line: 11.32
๐Ÿ”ด Dinamo Zagreb – Winning probability: 8.71% | Fair line: 11.48
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC Salzburg
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207665 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb

Should you bet on FC Salzburg?

๐Ÿ”ต FC Salzburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $533.00;
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$353.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $270.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$640.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Dinamo Zagreb?

๐Ÿ”ด Dinamo Zagreb: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $331.20;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$578.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC Salzburg
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 FC Salzburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 FC Salzburg.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Salzburg x Dinamo Zagreb

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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