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Home » Predictions » Champions League » FC Salzburg x PSG Betting tips for December 10 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 10 December 2024, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
FC Salzburg FC Salzburg
PREDICTION PSG Wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
PSG PSG
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Salzburg x PSG Betting tips for December 10 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for FC Salzburg x PSG, Tuesday, 10/12/2024
📅 10/12/2024
20:00
FC Salzburg FC Salzburg
7.00
X
5.00
PSG PSG
1.40

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Salzburg x PSG:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $700.00!

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The main points for the tip for FC Salzburg x PSG:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Salzburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-232.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Salzburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 FC Salzburg matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Salzburg x PSG for the UEFA Champions League – 10 of December

🏟️ FC Salzburg X PSG – UEFA Champions League
📅 10 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 FC Salzburg – Winning probability: 2.96% | Fair line: 33.77
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.71% | Fair line: 26.96
🔴 PSG – Winning probability: 93.33% | Fair line: 1.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 FC Salzburg
⚽ Expected goals: 5.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Salzburg and PSG.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1234867 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Salzburg x PSG

Should you bet on FC Salzburg?

🔵 FC Salzburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – profiting $180.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$790.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $160.00;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$800.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on PSG?

🔴 PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 93.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 930 times – profiting $372.00;
  • And would have lost other 70 times – with a loss of -$70.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$302.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Salzburg x PSG

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 FC Salzburg
⚽ Expected goals: 5.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Salzburg x PSG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 FC Salzburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 FC Salzburg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 FC Salzburg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Salzburg x PSG

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 5.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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