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Home » Predictions » Champions League » FK Backa Topola x Maccabi Tel Aviv Betting tips for August 29 in UEFA Europa League Qualifying
Thursday, 29 August 2024, 16h00 UEFA Europa League Qualifying
FK Backa Topola FK Backa Topola
PREDICTION Maccabi Tel Aviv Wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

FK Backa Topola x Maccabi Tel Aviv Betting tips for August 29 in UEFA Europa League Qualifying

Our betting tip for FK Backa Topola x Maccabi Tel Aviv, Thursday, 29/8/2024
📅 29/8/2024
16:00
FK Backa Topola FK Backa Topola
3.07
X
3.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FK Backa Topola x Maccabi Tel Aviv:

🔮 Maccabi Tel Aviv wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Maccabi Tel Aviv, you can win up to $1050.00!

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The main points for the tip for FK Backa Topola x Maccabi Tel Aviv:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Backa Topola in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-147.0.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Maccabi Tel Aviv has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from FK Backa Topola x Maccabi Tel Aviv for the UEFA Europa League Qualifying – 29 of August

🏟️ FK Backa Topola X Maccabi Tel Aviv – UEFA Europa League Qualifying
📅 29 of August, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 FK Backa Topola – Winning probability: 24.90% | Fair line: 4.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.95% | Fair line: 6.27
🔴 Maccabi Tel Aviv – Winning probability: 59.14% | Fair line: 1.69
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 FK Backa Topola
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FK Backa Topola x Maccabi Tel Aviv right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1170385 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FK Backa Topola x Maccabi Tel Aviv

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Backa Topola?

🔵 FK Backa Topola: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.07. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $517.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$232.50.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $416.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.

Should you bet on Maccabi Tel Aviv?

🔴 Maccabi Tel Aviv: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $649.00
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$239.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FK Backa Topola x Maccabi Tel Aviv

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 FK Backa Topola
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FK Backa Topola x Maccabi Tel Aviv

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 FK Backa Topola and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 FK Backa Topola.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Maccabi Tel Aviv.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FK Backa Topola x Maccabi Tel Aviv

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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