Inter Milan x Liverpool Betting tips for December 9 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Inter Milan x Liverpool, Tuesday, 9/12/2025

📅 9/12/2025 20:00

Inter Milan 2.43

X 3.45

Liverpool 2.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Inter Milan x Liverpool:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $1215.00!

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Important information for your tip for Inter Milan x Liverpool:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $4.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-186.0.

🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for Inter Milan vs Liverpool?

Lets analyze the match between Inter Milan and Liverpool at Giuseppe Meazza Stadium, home of Inter, which has been showing very strong performance in recent games. In the last 5 home matches, Inter scored 13 goals and conceded only 3, winning 4 games and losing just one. The team also maintains a high average possession (57%) and shots on target (16 per game), with good offensive efficiency evidenced by an average of 3 goals per match.

Meanwhile, Liverpool shows more modest numbers away from home: scored 12 goals in the last 5 away games, but suffered defensively (10 goals conceded) and has a recent record with more losses (2) than wins (2). Possession is slightly higher than Inters (58%), but the defense seems vulnerable.

The median odds indicate relative balance: Inter to win at 2.49, draw at 3.37, and Liverpool to win at 2.69. Converting to normalized implied probabilities, we get approximately: Inter win ~39%, draw ~29%, Liverpool win ~32%. Considering Inters solid offensive stats at home against Liverpools recent defensive struggles away, my adjusted estimate would be close to this or even slightly more favorable to the home team.

The Bets Kenya model suggests predicted odds for the home team are much lower (~1.84), indicating high confidence in the Italian teams victory; for draw (~5.40) and away (~3.68), it indicates lower probabilities — this generates a positive expected value only on the bet for the home team (+16%).

My analysis confirms this view: despite recent internal difficulties at Liverpool — including tension between Salah and coach Arne Slot — the favoritism is clearly with Inter Milan playing at Giuseppe Meazza, where they maintain excellent offensive and defensive form.

📰 News:
Inter is riding high after a recent thrashing in Serie A under Cristian Chivu, who implemented aggressive pressure; meanwhile, the Reds face internal turbulence with criticism of coach Arne Slot and uncertainties about Mohamed Salah, who may not even play this important Champions League match.

📈 Positional Analysis:
Inter is very well placed in the Italian table (3rd place), showing consistency; Liverpool is currently in an unstable moment outside their European grounds — all this reinforces the greater need for a win for the home team in this decisive Champions League phase.

Suggested Bet: Victory for Inter Milan, as there is clear value in this bet considering the robust statistics of the Italians playing in their historic stadium against an emotionally weakened opponent.
Expected value calculated for this bet is over +15%, indicating a good opportunity! ⚽🔥

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Analysis from Inter Milan x Liverpool for the UEFA Champions League – 9 of December

When the best bet on Inter Milan x Liverpool is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1450740 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

The latest news about Inter Milan x Liverpool

Inter: Inter maintained their dominant form in Serie A on December 6, 2025, crushing Como 4-0 at San Siro, with early goals from Lautaro Martínez and a brace from Marcus Thuram, while Luis Henrique received a standing ovation for his energetic performance on the left flank. Under new coach Cristian Chivu, the team has emphasized aggressive pressing and rotation, aided by Henriques versatility, and now boasts the leagues highest average goals per game at 2.3, along with a record number of big chances and crosses. The club is also linked to a potential transfer of goalkeeper Juan Vicario in January, as they prepare for a Coppa Italia match against Venezia, with Chivu planning to balance a demanding schedule that includes domestic, European, and Supercoppa commitments.

Liverpool: In early December 2025, Liverpool remains in a turbulent period: a 3-3 draw in the Premier League against Leeds, with substitute Ao Tanaka equalizing in the 96th minute, costing the Reds a chance to move into fifth place and drawing criticism from pundits like Gary Neville, while manager Arne Slot, who took over this season, has faced intense scrutiny and public defense from former player Jamie Redknapp; Mohamed Salah publicly questioned his future, stating that his relationship with Slot is broken and hinting at a possible January exit before the upcoming Champions League clash against Inter Milan on December 9 and a Premier League match against Brighton on December 13, before his obligations at AFCON with Egypt. In the transfer market, Liverpool has been linked to several negotiations, including contacts with RB Leipzig for 19-year-old Yan Diomande and speculation that midfielder Antoine Semenyo might be released, with the next league match against Leeds scheduled for January 1 at Anfield.

Table analysis for the match between Inter Milan x Liverpool

No table analysis was provided for this match.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Inter Milan x Liverpool

Is it worth betting on Inter Milan?

🔵 Inter Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $829.40;
• And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$409.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $441.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$379.00.

Is it worth betting on Liverpool?

🔴 Liverpool: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $408.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$352.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Inter Milan x Liverpool

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Inter Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Inter Milan x Liverpool

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Inter Milan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Inter Milan.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Inter Milan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Inter Milan x Liverpool

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.