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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Inter Milan x RB Leipzig Betting tips for November 26 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
Inter Milan Inter Milan
PREDICTION Inter Milan wins Probability 88% 1 X 2
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
ODD: @1.46 Don't miss this prediction!

Inter Milan x RB Leipzig Betting tips for November 26 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Inter Milan x RB Leipzig, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
20:00
Inter Milan Inter Milan
1.46
X
4.75
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
6.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Inter Milan x RB Leipzig:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $730.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Inter Milan x RB Leipzig:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, RB Leipzig scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Inter Milan matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 RB Leipzig matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, RB Leipzig conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for RB Leipzig as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Inter Milan x RB Leipzig for the UEFA Champions League – 26 of November

🏟️ Inter Milan X RB Leipzig – UEFA Champions League
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Inter Milan – Winning probability: 88.25% | Fair line: 1.13
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.59% | Fair line: 13.18
🔴 RB Leipzig – Winning probability: 4.16% | Fair line: 24.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Inter Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Inter Milan x RB Leipzig right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1227868 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Inter Milan x RB Leipzig

Is it worth betting on Inter Milan?

🔵 Inter Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 88.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $404.80
  • And would lose other 120 times – having a loss of -$120.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$284.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $300.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$620.00.

Should you bet on RB Leipzig?

🔴 RB Leipzig: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $208.80;
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$751.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Inter Milan x RB Leipzig

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Inter Milan
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Inter Milan x RB Leipzig

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Inter Milan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Inter Milan.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Inter Milan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Inter Milan x RB Leipzig

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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