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Home ยป Predictions ยป Champions League ยป Juventus x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 22 October 2024, 19h00 UEFA Champions League
Juventus Juventus
PREDICTION Juventus wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
ODD: @1.77 Don't miss this prediction!

Juventus x VfB Stuttgart Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Juventus x VfB Stuttgart, Tuesday, 22/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 22/10/2024
19:00
Juventus Juventus
1.77
X
3.80
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
4.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Juventus x VfB Stuttgart:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Juventus wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Juventus, you can win up to $885.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Juventus x VfB Stuttgart:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-115.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on VfB Stuttgart in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-133.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Juventus matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 VfB Stuttgart matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, VfB Stuttgart conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Juventus is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 65.00% of possession.

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Summary

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Analysis from Juventus x VfB Stuttgart for the UEFA Champions League – 22 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Juventus X VfB Stuttgart – UEFA Champions League
๐Ÿ“… 22 of October, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Juventus – Winning probability: 60.14% | Fair line: 1.66
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.75% | Fair line: 5.63
๐Ÿ”ด VfB Stuttgart – Winning probability: 22.11% | Fair line: 4.52
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Juventus
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Juventus and VfB Stuttgart.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1206527 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Juventus x VfB Stuttgart

Is it worth betting on Juventus?

๐Ÿ”ต Juventus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.77. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – profiting $462.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$62.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $504.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$316.00.

Should you bet on VfB Stuttgart?

๐Ÿ”ด VfB Stuttgart: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $726.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$54.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Juventus x VfB Stuttgart

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Juventus
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventus x VfB Stuttgart

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Juventus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Juventus.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventus x VfB Stuttgart

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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