Kairat Almaty x Olympiacos Betting tips for December 9 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 9/12/2025 15:30 |
 Kairat Almaty5.75 |
X 4.00 |
Olympiacos  1.52 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kairat Almaty x Olympiacos:
🔮 Olympiacos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Olympiacos, you can win up to $760.00!
The main points for the tip for Kairat Almaty x Olympiacos:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Kairat Almaty in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-247.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Olympiacos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-7.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Olympiacos scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Olympiacos is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for Kairat Almaty vs Olympiacos:
Lets analyze the match between Kairat Almaty and Olympiacos at the Astana Arena, which is a neutral stadium for Kairat since their usual stadium is elsewhere. This already impacts the home advantage.
📈 Olympiacos is in a much better situation in the Champions League and overall: they have a superior away record with 4 wins in the last 5 away games, scoring an average of 2 goals per game and conceding 2 as well. Kairat faces clear difficulties, with no recent wins in the league and a negative goal difference (-10 in the group). Olympiacos dominates possession (55% vs 49%) and shots (15 vs 16 but more efficient), plus they have a less leaky defense.
📰 News confirms this disparity: Olympiacos is strong financially and athletically, holding important talents like Mouzakitis, while Kairat sits last in the group without wins. Their previous match ended in a 1-0 victory for Olympiacos.
Analyzing the median odds, we get approximate normalized implied probabilities: Kairat win ~14%, draw ~19%, Olympiacos win ~67%. Considering the stats and news, these probabilities make sense as they clearly reflect the visitors superiority even on a neutral field.
Calculating fair odds adjusted by qualitative analysis, I suggest fair odds for:
- Kairat: around 6.5 (probability ~15%)
- Draw: around 4.8 (probability ~21%)
- Olympiacos: around 1.45 (probability ~69%)
Comparing with the final odds, the positive expected value is only for the bet on Olympiacos:
- Kairat EV negative due to high final odds but low realistic probability;
- Draw EV negative;
- Olympiacos EV positive (~22%), confirming it as a value bet.
Final analysis: I fully agree with the Bets Kenya model indicating value in Olympiacos victory 🏆! They are clear favorites even playing away from Greece thanks to a strong squad, recent good form, and technical-tactical dominance evidenced by offensive/defensive stats.
Betting on the Greek team offers greater security against the evident difficulties of Kairat Almaty in this tough Champions League ⚽️🔥!
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Analysis from Kairat Almaty x Olympiacos for the UEFA Champions League – 9 of December
🏟️ Kairat Almaty X Olympiacos – UEFA Champions League
📅 9 of December, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Kairat Almaty – Winning probability: 7.88% | Fair line: 12.68
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.23% | Fair line: 8.91
🔴 Olympiacos – Winning probability: 80.89% | Fair line: 1.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Kairat Almaty
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks
When the best bet on Kairat Almaty x Olympiacos is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1450740 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Latest news on Kairat Almaty x Olympiacos
Kairat Almaty: Kairat Almaty is competing in the UEFA Champions League 2025-26 but has faced difficulties, currently last in their group after five matches with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with only one point and a goal difference of -10; their last game was a 0-1 defeat to Olympiacos on December 9, 2025, at Almaty Ortalyk Stadium, broadcast on beIN Sports, and earlier in the season, they played a qualifying round against ŠK Slovan Bratislava on August 12, 2025.
Olympiacos: Olympiacos remains prominent by holding onto young midfielder Christos Mouzakitis, rejecting Manchester Uniteds €28 million offer and a slightly higher proposal from Real Madrid, demanding close to €40 million and refusing to negotiate for less than €30 million; club owner Evangelos Marinakis maintains a strategic partnership with John Textor, allegedly allowing flexible transfer fee adjustments between their linked clubs; on the field, the Greek champions have dominated the Super League 2025-26 with impressive victories such as 5-0 over Panserraikos, 2-0 against Asteras Tripolis, and 2-0 over NFC Volos, and in the Champions League, they surprised Barcelona with a 6-1 win before losing 3-4 to Real Madrid, while goalkeeper Georgios Kouraklis has yet to participate in league matches this season.
UEFA Champions League table analysis for Kairat Almaty x Olympiacos
No table analysis has been provided for this match.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Kairat Almaty x Olympiacos
Is it a good idea to bet on Kairat Almaty?
🔵 Kairat Almaty: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $380.00
- And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$540.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $330.00;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$560.00.
Should you bet on Olympiacos?
🔴 Olympiacos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 810 times – profiting $421.20;
- And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$231.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kairat Almaty x Olympiacos
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Kairat Almaty
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kairat Almaty x Olympiacos
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Kairat Almaty and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.0 Kairat Almaty.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Kairat Almaty.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kairat Almaty x Olympiacos
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
