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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Lille x SK Sturm Graz Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 11 December 2024, 17h45 UEFA Champions League
Lille Lille
PREDICTION SK Sturm Graz Wins Probability 17% 1 X 2
SK Sturm Graz SK Sturm Graz
ODD: @6.26 Don't miss this prediction!

Lille x SK Sturm Graz Betting tips for December 11 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Lille x SK Sturm Graz, Wednesday, 11/12/2024
📅 11/12/2024
17:45
Lille Lille
1.46
X
4.45
SK Sturm Graz SK Sturm Graz
6.26

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lille x SK Sturm Graz:

🔮 SK Sturm Graz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SK Sturm Graz, you can win up to $3130.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Lille x SK Sturm Graz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SK Sturm Graz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $93.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lille scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, SK Sturm Graz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, SK Sturm Graz has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Lille x SK Sturm Graz?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Lille x SK Sturm Graz:

Analysis from Lille x SK Sturm Graz for the UEFA Champions League – 11 of December

🏟️ Lille X SK Sturm Graz – UEFA Champions League
📅 11 of December, 2024 – 17:45
🔵 Lille – Winning probability: 63.59% | Fair line: 1.57
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.38% | Fair line: 5.16
🔴 SK Sturm Graz – Winning probability: 17.03% | Fair line: 5.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lille and SK Sturm Graz.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1235636 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lille x SK Sturm Graz

Should you bet on Lille?

🔵 Lille: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $294.40
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$65.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $655.50;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$154.50.

Is it worth betting on SK Sturm Graz?

🔴 SK Sturm Graz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $894.20;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$64.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lille x SK Sturm Graz

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lille
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lille x SK Sturm Graz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lille and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Lille.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 SK Sturm Graz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lille x SK Sturm Graz

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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