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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for November 5 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 05 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
Liverpool Liverpool
PREDICTION Liverpool wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for November 5 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen, Tuesday, 5/11/2024
📅 5/11/2024
20:00
Liverpool Liverpool
1.62
X
4.20
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
4.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $810.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $52.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-185.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Liverpool conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bayer Leverkusen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Bayer Leverkusen has not lost any of them.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen:

Analysis from Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen for the UEFA Champions League – 5 of November

🏟️ Liverpool X Bayer Leverkusen – UEFA Champions League
📅 5 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Liverpool – Winning probability: 71.51% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.26% | Fair line: 5.48
🔴 Bayer Leverkusen – Winning probability: 10.22% | Fair line: 9.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1216337 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen

Is it worth betting on Liverpool?

🔵 Liverpool: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $446.40;
  • And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$166.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $576.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bayer Leverkusen?

🔴 Bayer Leverkusen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $360.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$540.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Liverpool and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Liverpool.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x Bayer Leverkusen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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