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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Liverpool x Real Madrid Betting tips for November 27 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
Liverpool Liverpool
PREDICTION Liverpool wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
ODD: @2.06 Don't miss this prediction!

Liverpool x Real Madrid Betting tips for November 27 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Liverpool x Real Madrid, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
20:00
Liverpool Liverpool
2.06
X
3.65
Real Madrid Real Madrid
3.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Liverpool x Real Madrid:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $1030.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Liverpool x Real Madrid:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $120.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-23.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Liverpool scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Liverpool is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Liverpool x Real Madrid?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Liverpool x Real Madrid:

Analysis from Liverpool x Real Madrid for the UEFA Champions League – 27 of November

🏟️ Liverpool X Real Madrid – UEFA Champions League
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Liverpool – Winning probability: 75.29% | Fair line: 1.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.87% | Fair line: 8.42
🔴 Real Madrid – Winning probability: 12.84% | Fair line: 7.79
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Liverpool x Real Madrid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Liverpool x Real Madrid

Is betting on Liverpool worth it?

🔵 Liverpool: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – profiting $795.00;
  • And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$545.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $318.00;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$562.00.

Should you bet on Real Madrid?

🔴 Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $286.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$584.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Liverpool x Real Madrid

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Liverpool
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Liverpool x Real Madrid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Liverpool, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Liverpool.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Liverpool.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Liverpool x Real Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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