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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Manchester City x Inter Milan Betting tips for September 18 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 18 September 2024, 16h00 UEFA Champions League
Manchester City Manchester City
PREDICTION Inter Milan Wins Probability 19% 1 X 2
Inter Milan Inter Milan
ODD: @6.07 Don't miss this prediction!

Manchester City x Inter Milan Betting tips for September 18 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Manchester City x Inter Milan, Wednesday, 18/9/2024
📅 18/9/2024
16:00
Manchester City Manchester City
1.49
X
4.60
Inter Milan Inter Milan
6.07

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Manchester City x Inter Milan:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $3035.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Manchester City x Inter Milan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-62.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Manchester City scored at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Inter Milan scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Manchester City matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Manchester City conceded at least 1.0 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Inter Milan conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Manchester City is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Inter Milan has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Manchester City x Inter Milan?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Manchester City x Inter Milan:

Analysis from Manchester City x Inter Milan for the UEFA Champions League – 18 of September

🏟️ Manchester City X Inter Milan – UEFA Champions League
📅 18 of September, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Manchester City – Winning probability: 67.65% | Fair line: 1.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.40% | Fair line: 8.06
🔴 Inter Milan – Winning probability: 19.95% | Fair line: 5.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Manchester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Manchester City x Inter Milan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1183677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Manchester City x Inter Milan

Is it worth betting on Manchester City?

🔵 Manchester City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $333.20;
  • And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$13.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $432.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$448.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Inter Milan?

🔴 Inter Milan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $1014.00
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$214.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester City x Inter Milan

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Manchester City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester City x Inter Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Manchester City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Manchester City.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Inter Milan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester City x Inter Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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