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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Molde x Silkeborg IF Betting tips for July 25 in UEFA Europa League Qualifying
Thursday, 25 July 2024, 14h00 UEFA Europa League Qualifying
Molde Molde
PREDICTION Molde wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Molde x Silkeborg IF Betting tips for July 25 in UEFA Europa League Qualifying

Our betting tip for Molde x Silkeborg IF, Thursday, 25/7/2024
📅 25/7/2024
14:00
Molde Molde
1.55
X
4.00
Silkeborg IF Silkeborg IF
4.98

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Molde x Silkeborg IF:

🔮 Molde wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Molde, you can win up to $775.00!

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The main points for the tip for Molde x Silkeborg IF:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Molde in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-227.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Silkeborg IF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $45.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Molde scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Silkeborg IF did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Silkeborg IF conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Molde x Silkeborg IF for the UEFA Europa League Qualifying – 25 of July

🏟️ Molde X Silkeborg IF – UEFA Europa League Qualifying
📅 25 of July, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Molde – Winning probability: 77.89% | Fair line: 1.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.71% | Fair line: 11.48
🔴 Silkeborg IF – Winning probability: 13.39% | Fair line: 7.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Molde
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Molde x Silkeborg IF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1150439 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Molde x Silkeborg IF

Is it a good idea to bet on Molde?

🔵 Molde: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $429.00;
  • And would lose other 220 times – losing -$220.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$209.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $270.00
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$640.00.

Should you bet on Silkeborg IF?

🔴 Silkeborg IF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $517.40;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$352.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Molde x Silkeborg IF

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Molde
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Molde x Silkeborg IF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Molde, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Molde.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Molde.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Molde x Silkeborg IF

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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