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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Monaco x Benfica Betting tips for November 27 in UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
Monaco Monaco
PREDICTION No tip
Benfica Benfica
Don't miss this prediction!

Monaco x Benfica Betting tips for November 27 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Monaco x Benfica, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
20:00
Monaco Monaco
2.12
X
3.65
Benfica Benfica
3.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Monaco x Benfica:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Monaco x Benfica

Important information for your tip for Monaco x Benfica:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monaco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-89.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Benfica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $34.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Monaco conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Monaco x Benfica for the UEFA Champions League – 27 of November

🏟️ Monaco X Benfica – UEFA Champions League
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Monaco – Winning probability: 44.23% | Fair line: 2.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.55% | Fair line: 4.07
🔴 Benfica – Winning probability: 31.22% | Fair line: 3.2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Monaco x Benfica is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Monaco x Benfica

Is it a good idea to bet on Monaco?

🔵 Monaco: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $492.80;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$67.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $662.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$87.50.

Is it worth betting on Benfica?

🔴 Benfica: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $682.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$8.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monaco x Benfica

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Monaco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monaco x Benfica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Monaco and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Monaco.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monaco x Benfica

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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