PSG x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for November 6 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 6/11/2024 20:00 |
 PSG1.82 |
X 3.72 |
Atletico Madrid  4.16 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSG x Atletico Madrid:
🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $910.00!
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Important information for your tip for PSG x Atletico Madrid: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $33.0. |
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Analysis from PSG x Atletico Madrid for the UEFA Champions League – 6 of November
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🏟️ PSG X Atletico Madrid – UEFA Champions League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSG x Atletico Madrid right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1217498 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for PSG x Atletico Madrid
Is betting on PSG worth it?
🔵 PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 780 times – this would give you a profit of $639.60
- And would lose other 220 times – having a loss of -$220.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$419.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – profiting $326.40;
- And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$553.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Madrid?
🔴 Atletico Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $316.00
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$584.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Atletico Madrid
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 PSG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x Atletico Madrid
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 PSG and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 PSG.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 PSG.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Atletico Madrid
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
