PSG x PSV Betting tips for October 22 in UEFA Champions League
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22/10/2024 19:00 |
 PSG1.50 |
X 4.58 |
PSV  5.71 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSG x PSV:
๐ฎ PSG wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $750.00!
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Important information for your tip for PSG x PSV: ๐ If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on PSG x PSV?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from PSG x PSV for the UEFA Champions League – 22 of October
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๐๏ธ PSG X PSV – UEFA Champions League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSG x PSV right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1206527 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for PSG x PSV
Is betting on PSG worth it?
๐ต PSG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 890 times – this would give you a profit of $445.00
- And would have lost other 110 times – with a loss of -$110.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$335.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $250.60;
- And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$679.40.
Should you bet on PSV?
๐ด PSV: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.71. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $188.40;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$771.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x PSV
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 PSG
โฝ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x PSV
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 PSG, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 PSG.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 PSG.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x PSV
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
