PSV x Shakhtar Donetsk Betting tips for November 27 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for PSV x Shakhtar Donetsk, Wednesday, 27/11/2024

📅 27/11/2024 20:00

PSV 1.38

X 5.00

Shakhtar Donetsk 7.38

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSV x Shakhtar Donetsk:

🔮 PSV wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSV, you can win up to $690.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for PSV x Shakhtar Donetsk: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSV in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $15.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Shakhtar Donetsk in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-378.0. 👉 PSV did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, PSV scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Shakhtar Donetsk matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 PSV matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 PSV is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession. 👉 PSV is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from PSV x Shakhtar Donetsk for the UEFA Champions League – 27 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSV x Shakhtar Donetsk right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PSV x Shakhtar Donetsk

Is it worth betting on PSV?

🔵 PSV: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $330.60;
• And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$200.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $440.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$450.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Shakhtar Donetsk?

🔴 Shakhtar Donetsk: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 30 times – profiting $191.40;
• And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$778.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match PSV x Shakhtar Donetsk

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 PSV
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSV x Shakhtar Donetsk

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 PSV and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 PSV.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSV x Shakhtar Donetsk

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.