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Home » Predictions » Champions League » RB Leipzig x Aston Villa Betting tips for December 10 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 10 December 2024, 20h00 UEFA Champions League
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
PREDICTION RB Leipzig wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Aston Villa Aston Villa
ODD: @2.61 Don't miss this prediction!

RB Leipzig x Aston Villa Betting tips for December 10 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for RB Leipzig x Aston Villa, Tuesday, 10/12/2024
📅 10/12/2024
20:00
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
2.61
X
3.51
Aston Villa Aston Villa
2.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for RB Leipzig x Aston Villa:

🔮 RB Leipzig wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on RB Leipzig, you can win up to $1305.00!

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The main points for the tip for RB Leipzig x Aston Villa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $71.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 Aston Villa did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Aston Villa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Aston Villa as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from RB Leipzig x Aston Villa for the UEFA Champions League – 10 of December

🏟️ RB Leipzig X Aston Villa – UEFA Champions League
📅 10 of December, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 RB Leipzig – Winning probability: 46.84% | Fair line: 2.13
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.14% | Fair line: 4.14
🔴 Aston Villa – Winning probability: 29.02% | Fair line: 3.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for RB Leipzig x Aston Villa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1234867 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x Aston Villa

Is it worth betting on RB Leipzig?

🔵 RB Leipzig: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $756.70;
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$226.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $602.40;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$157.60.

Should you bet on Aston Villa?

🔴 Aston Villa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $435.00
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$275.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match RB Leipzig x Aston Villa

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 RB Leipzig
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for RB Leipzig x Aston Villa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 RB Leipzig and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 RB Leipzig.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 RB Leipzig.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for RB Leipzig x Aston Villa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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