Real Madrid x Arsenal Betting tips for April 16 in UEFA Champions League
| 📅 16/4/2025 19:00 |
 Real Madrid1.79 |
X 4.00 |
Arsenal  3.94 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Real Madrid x Arsenal:
🔮 Real Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $895.00!
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Important information for your tip for Real Madrid x Arsenal: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0. |
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Analysis from Real Madrid x Arsenal for the UEFA Champions League – 16 of April
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🏟️ Real Madrid X Arsenal – UEFA Champions League |
When the best bet on Real Madrid x Arsenal is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304980 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Arsenal
Is it worth betting on Real Madrid?
🔵 Real Madrid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.79. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $592.50;
- And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$342.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $390.00;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$480.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Arsenal?
🔴 Arsenal: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $382.20
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$487.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Real Madrid x Arsenal
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Real Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Real Madrid x Arsenal
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Real Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Real Madrid.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Arsenal.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Real Madrid x Arsenal
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
