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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Sheriff Tiraspol x Elfsborg Betting tips for July 25 in UEFA Europa League Qualifying
Thursday, 25 July 2024, 14h00 UEFA Europa League Qualifying
Sheriff Tiraspol Sheriff Tiraspol
PREDICTION Sheriff Tiraspol wins Probability 46% 1 X 2
Elfsborg Elfsborg
ODD: @2.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Sheriff Tiraspol x Elfsborg Betting tips for July 25 in UEFA Europa League Qualifying

Our betting tip for Sheriff Tiraspol x Elfsborg, Thursday, 25/7/2024
📅 25/7/2024
14:00
Sheriff Tiraspol Sheriff Tiraspol
2.80
X
3.40
Elfsborg Elfsborg
2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sheriff Tiraspol x Elfsborg:

🔮 Sheriff Tiraspol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sheriff Tiraspol, you can win up to $1400.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sheriff Tiraspol x Elfsborg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Elfsborg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Sheriff Tiraspol conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Elfsborg conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Sheriff Tiraspol x Elfsborg for the UEFA Europa League Qualifying – 25 of July

🏟️ Sheriff Tiraspol X Elfsborg – UEFA Europa League Qualifying
📅 25 of July, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Sheriff Tiraspol – Winning probability: 46.79% | Fair line: 2.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.96% | Fair line: 5.9
🔴 Elfsborg – Winning probability: 36.26% | Fair line: 2.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sheriff Tiraspol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sheriff Tiraspol x Elfsborg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1150439 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sheriff Tiraspol x Elfsborg

Should you bet on Sheriff Tiraspol?

🔵 Sheriff Tiraspol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – profiting $846.00;
  • And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$316.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $408.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$422.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Elfsborg?

🔴 Elfsborg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $468.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sheriff Tiraspol x Elfsborg

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sheriff Tiraspol
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sheriff Tiraspol x Elfsborg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Sheriff Tiraspol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Sheriff Tiraspol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Elfsborg.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sheriff Tiraspol x Elfsborg

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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