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Home » Predictions » Champions League » Sparta Prague x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for November 26 in UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 17h45 UEFA Champions League
Sparta Prague Sparta Prague
PREDICTION Sparta Prague wins Probability 25% 1 X 2
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
ODD: @4.86 Don't miss this prediction!

Sparta Prague x Atletico Madrid Betting tips for November 26 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Sparta Prague x Atletico Madrid, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
17:45
Sparta Prague Sparta Prague
4.86
X
3.90
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
1.67

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sparta Prague x Atletico Madrid:

🔮 Sparta Prague wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sparta Prague, you can win up to $2430.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sparta Prague x Atletico Madrid:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sparta Prague in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-268.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $539.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Sparta Prague scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sparta Prague conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Atletico Madrid is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Sparta Prague x Atletico Madrid?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sparta Prague x Atletico Madrid, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sparta Prague x Atletico Madrid for the UEFA Champions League – 26 of November

🏟️ Sparta Prague X Atletico Madrid – UEFA Champions League
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 17:45
🔵 Sparta Prague – Winning probability: 25.63% | Fair line: 3.9
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.48% | Fair line: 9.55
🔴 Atletico Madrid – Winning probability: 63.90% | Fair line: 1.57
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sparta Prague
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sparta Prague and Atletico Madrid.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1227868 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sparta Prague x Atletico Madrid

Is it worth betting on Sparta Prague?

🔵 Sparta Prague: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $1003.60;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$263.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $290.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$610.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Madrid?

🔴 Atletico Madrid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $428.80;
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$68.80. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sparta Prague x Atletico Madrid

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sparta Prague
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sparta Prague x Atletico Madrid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Sparta Prague, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Sparta Prague.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Sparta Prague.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sparta Prague x Atletico Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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