Sporting x Arsenal Betting tips for November 26 in UEFA Champions League

Our betting tip for Sporting x Arsenal, Tuesday, 26/11/2024

📅 26/11/2024 20:00

Sporting 3.00

X 3.50

Arsenal 2.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sporting x Arsenal:

🔮 Sporting wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sporting, you can win up to $1500.00!

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The main points for the tip for Sporting x Arsenal: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $273.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-367.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Sporting scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Arsenal matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Sporting matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Arsenal conceded at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 Sporting is good playing home: it has 8 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Sporting x Arsenal for the UEFA Champions League – 26 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sporting x Arsenal right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1227868 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sporting x Arsenal

Is it a good idea to bet on Sporting?

🔵 Sporting: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $780.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$170.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$230.00.

Is it worth betting on Arsenal?

🔴 Arsenal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $507.00
• And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$103.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sporting x Arsenal

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sporting
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sporting x Arsenal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Sporting and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Sporting.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Sporting.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sporting x Arsenal

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.