Chivas Guadalajara x Atlas Betting tips for November 22 in Mexico Liga MX
📅 22/11/2024 01:05 |
Chivas Guadalajara 1.81 |
X 3.40 |
Atlas 4.33 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chivas Guadalajara x Atlas:
🔮 Chivas Guadalajara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chivas Guadalajara, you can win up to $905.00!
The main points for the tip for Chivas Guadalajara x Atlas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chivas Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0. |
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Analysis from Chivas Guadalajara x Atlas for the Mexico Liga MX – 22 of November
🏟️ Chivas Guadalajara X Atlas – Mexico Liga MX |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chivas Guadalajara x Atlas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Chivas Guadalajara x Atlas
Is it worth betting on Chivas Guadalajara?
🔵 Chivas Guadalajara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 690 times – profiting $558.90;
- And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$248.90.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $504.00;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.
Should you bet on Atlas?
🔴 Atlas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $366.30
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$523.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chivas Guadalajara x Atlas
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chivas Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chivas Guadalajara x Atlas
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Chivas Guadalajara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Chivas Guadalajara.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Chivas Guadalajara.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chivas Guadalajara x Atlas
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.