Chivas Guadalajara x Necaxa Betting tips for October 23 in Mexico Liga MX
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23/10/2024 01:05 |
Chivas Guadalajara 1.67 |
X 3.62 |
Necaxa 4.60 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chivas Guadalajara x Necaxa:
๐ฎ Chivas Guadalajara wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chivas Guadalajara, you can win up to $835.00!
Some important points for the tip for Chivas Guadalajara x Necaxa: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Chivas Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-6.0. |
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Analysis from Chivas Guadalajara x Necaxa for the Mexico Liga MX – 23 of October
๐๏ธ Chivas Guadalajara X Necaxa – Mexico Liga MX |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chivas Guadalajara x Necaxa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1207665 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Chivas Guadalajara x Necaxa
Is it worth betting on Chivas Guadalajara?
๐ต Chivas Guadalajara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 680 times – profiting $455.60;
- And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$135.60.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $602.60;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$167.40.
Is betting on Necaxa worth it?
๐ด Necaxa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $324.00;
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$586.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chivas Guadalajara x Necaxa
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Chivas Guadalajara
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chivas Guadalajara x Necaxa
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Chivas Guadalajara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Chivas Guadalajara.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Chivas Guadalajara.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chivas Guadalajara x Necaxa
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.