Chivas Guadalajara x Puebla Betting tips for April 16 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Chivas Guadalajara x Puebla, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 01:05

Chivas Guadalajara 1.60

X 3.70

Puebla 5.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chivas Guadalajara x Puebla:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Chivas Guadalajara x Puebla

Important information for your tip for Chivas Guadalajara x Puebla: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chivas Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $109.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Puebla in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Puebla did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Puebla, Chivas Guadalajara scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Chivas Guadalajara matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Puebla matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Puebla conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Puebla as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Chivas Guadalajara x Puebla?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Chivas Guadalajara x Puebla for the Mexico Liga MX – 16 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chivas Guadalajara and Puebla.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1304965 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chivas Guadalajara x Puebla

Is betting on Chivas Guadalajara worth it?

🔵 Chivas Guadalajara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
• And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$152.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $459.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$371.00.

Should you bet on Puebla?

🔴 Puebla: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $495.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$395.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chivas Guadalajara x Puebla

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Chivas Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chivas Guadalajara x Puebla

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Chivas Guadalajara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Chivas Guadalajara.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chivas Guadalajara x Puebla

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.