Chivas Guadalajara x Santos Laguna Betting tips for January 12 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Chivas Guadalajara x Santos Laguna, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 01:05

Chivas Guadalajara 1.31

X 4.90

Santos Laguna 8.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chivas Guadalajara x Santos Laguna:

🔮 Chivas Guadalajara wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chivas Guadalajara, you can win up to $655.00!

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Important information for your tip for Chivas Guadalajara x Santos Laguna: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chivas Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-327.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santos Laguna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Santos Laguna, Chivas Guadalajara scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Santos Laguna conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Chivas Guadalajara has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Santos Laguna playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Santos Laguna as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Chivas Guadalajara x Santos Laguna for the Mexico Liga MX – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chivas Guadalajara x Santos Laguna right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244796 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chivas Guadalajara x Santos Laguna

Should you bet on Chivas Guadalajara?

🔵 Chivas Guadalajara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 89.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 900 times – profiting $279.00;
• And would lose other 100 times – losing -$100.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$179.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $312.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$608.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Santos Laguna?

🔴 Santos Laguna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $150.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$830.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chivas Guadalajara x Santos Laguna

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Chivas Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chivas Guadalajara x Santos Laguna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Chivas Guadalajara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Chivas Guadalajara.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Chivas Guadalajara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chivas Guadalajara x Santos Laguna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.