Chivas Guadalajara x Unam Pumas Betting tips for November 3 in Mexico Liga MX
| 📅 3/11/2024 01:05 |
 Chivas Guadalajara2.18 |
X 3.20 |
Unam Pumas  3.12 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Chivas Guadalajara x Unam Pumas:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!
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The main points for the tip for Chivas Guadalajara x Unam Pumas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chivas Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $5.0. |
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Analysis from Chivas Guadalajara x Unam Pumas for the Mexico Liga MX – 3 of November
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🏟️ Chivas Guadalajara X Unam Pumas – Mexico Liga MX |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Chivas Guadalajara x Unam Pumas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213279 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Chivas Guadalajara x Unam Pumas
Is it a good idea to bet on Chivas Guadalajara?
🔵 Chivas Guadalajara: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.0%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $495.60
- And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$84.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $770.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$120.00.
Is it worth betting on Unam Pumas?
🔴 Unam Pumas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $508.80;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$251.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chivas Guadalajara x Unam Pumas
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Chivas Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chivas Guadalajara x Unam Pumas
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Chivas Guadalajara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Chivas Guadalajara.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Chivas Guadalajara.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chivas Guadalajara x Unam Pumas
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
