Club America x Cruz Azul Betting tips for April 13 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Club America x Cruz Azul, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 03:15

Club America 2.00

X 3.30

Cruz Azul 3.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Club America x Cruz Azul:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Club America x Cruz Azul: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club America in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruz Azul in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-121.0. 👉 Club America did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 Cruz Azul did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 5 Cruz Azul matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Club America x Cruz Azul, with Club America as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Cruz Azul has not lost any of them. 👉 Club America has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cruz Azul playing at home.

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Analysis from Club America x Cruz Azul for the Mexico Liga MX – 13 of April

When the best bet on Club America x Cruz Azul is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302086 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Club America x Cruz Azul

Is it worth betting on Club America?

🔵 Club America: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $450.00;
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $736.00
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$56.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Cruz Azul?

🔴 Cruz Azul: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Club America x Cruz Azul

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Club America
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club America x Cruz Azul

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Club America and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Club America.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Cruz Azul.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club America x Cruz Azul

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.