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Home » Predictions » Club America x Pachuca Betting tips for November 7 in Mexico Liga MX
Thursday, 07 November 2024, 01h00 Mexico Liga MX
Club America Club America
PREDICTION Pachuca Wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
Pachuca Pachuca
ODD: @4.29 Don't miss this prediction!

Club America x Pachuca Betting tips for November 7 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Club America x Pachuca, Thursday, 7/11/2024
📅 7/11/2024
01:00
Club America Club America
1.70
X
3.78
Pachuca Pachuca
4.29

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Club America x Pachuca:

🔮 Pachuca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pachuca, you can win up to $2145.00!

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Important information for your tip for Club America x Pachuca:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Club America in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $184.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pachuca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Pachuca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Pachuca, Club America scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 10 matches as the away team, Pachuca conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Club America has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Pachuca playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Club America x Pachuca for the Mexico Liga MX – 7 of November

🏟️ Club America X Pachuca – Mexico Liga MX
📅 7 of November, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 Club America – Winning probability: 39.01% | Fair line: 2.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.37% | Fair line: 6.11
🔴 Pachuca – Winning probability: 44.62% | Fair line: 2.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Club America
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Club America x Pachuca is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1217748 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Club America x Pachuca

Is betting on Club America worth it?

🔵 Club America: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $273.00
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$337.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $444.80;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$395.20.

Should you bet on Pachuca?

🔴 Pachuca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $1480.50
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$930.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Club America x Pachuca

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Club America
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club America x Pachuca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Club America and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Club America.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Pachuca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club America x Pachuca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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