Alianza Lima x Libertad Asuncion Betting tips for April 2 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for Alianza Lima x Libertad Asuncion, Wednesday, 2/4/2025

📅 2/4/2025
02:00

Alianza Lima
2.26

X
3.06

Libertad Asuncion

3.29

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Alianza Lima x Libertad Asuncion:

🔮 Alianza Lima wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alianza Lima, you can win up to $1130.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com

Important information for your tip for Alianza Lima x Libertad Asuncion:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza Lima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $206.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Libertad Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $322.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Alianza Lima scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Libertad Asuncion scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Alianza Lima matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Libertad Asuncion has not lost any of them.

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Alianza Lima x Libertad Asuncion?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2025, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Alianza Lima x Libertad Asuncion for the Copa Libertadores – 2 of April

🏟️ Alianza Lima X Libertad Asuncion – Copa Libertadores
📅 2 of April, 2025 – 02:00
🔵 Alianza Lima – Winning probability: 54.81% | Fair line: 1.82
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.34% | Fair line: 5.45
🔴 Libertad Asuncion – Winning probability: 26.85% | Fair line: 3.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alianza Lima
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Alianza Lima x Libertad Asuncion is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1294595 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alianza Lima x Libertad Asuncion

Should you bet on Alianza Lima?

🔵 Alianza Lima: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 54.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 550 times – profiting $693.00;
And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$243.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 180 times – profiting $370.80;
And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$449.20.

Is it worth betting on Libertad Asuncion?

🔴 Libertad Asuncion: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.29. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $618.30
And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$111.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alianza Lima x Libertad Asuncion

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alianza Lima
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alianza Lima x Libertad Asuncion

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Alianza Lima and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Alianza Lima.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Alianza Lima.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alianza Lima x Libertad Asuncion

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.