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Home » Predictions » Copa Libertadores » Atletico Mineiro x Botafogo Betting tips for November 30 in Copa Libertadores
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 20h00 Copa Libertadores
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
PREDICTION Botafogo Wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Botafogo Botafogo
ODD: @2.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Mineiro x Botafogo Betting tips for November 30 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for Atletico Mineiro x Botafogo, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
20:00
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
2.90
X
3.00
Botafogo Botafogo
2.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Mineiro x Botafogo:

🔮 Botafogo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botafogo, you can win up to $1250.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Mineiro x Botafogo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $315.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atletico Mineiro x Botafogo, with Atletico Mineiro as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Botafogo caused at least one sending-off in its last 3 matches as the away team.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico Mineiro x Botafogo for the Copa Libertadores – 30 of November

🏟️ Atletico Mineiro X Botafogo – Copa Libertadores
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Atletico Mineiro – Winning probability: 15.64% | Fair line: 6.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.81% | Fair line: 6.75
🔴 Botafogo – Winning probability: 69.56% | Fair line: 1.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico Mineiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atletico Mineiro x Botafogo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Mineiro x Botafogo

Is betting on Atletico Mineiro worth it?

🔵 Atletico Mineiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $304.00
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$536.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $300.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$550.00.

Is betting on Botafogo worth it?

🔴 Botafogo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $1050.00;
  • And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$750.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Mineiro x Botafogo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Atletico Mineiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Mineiro x Botafogo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Atletico Mineiro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Atletico Mineiro.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Botafogo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Mineiro x Botafogo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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