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Home » Predictions » Copa Libertadores » Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense Betting tips for September 25 in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, 25 September 2024, 19h00 Copa Libertadores
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
PREDICTION Fluminense Wins Probability 22% 1 X 2
Fluminense Fluminense
ODD: @4.41 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense Betting tips for September 25 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense, Wednesday, 25/9/2024
📅 25/9/2024
19:00
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
1.81
X
3.46
Fluminense Fluminense
4.41

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense:

🔮 Fluminense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fluminense, you can win up to $2205.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-127.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fluminense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense, with Atletico Mineiro as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense:

Analysis from Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense for the Copa Libertadores – 25 of September

🏟️ Atletico Mineiro X Fluminense – Copa Libertadores
📅 25 of September, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Atletico Mineiro – Winning probability: 58.94% | Fair line: 1.7
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.89% | Fair line: 5.29
🔴 Fluminense – Winning probability: 22.18% | Fair line: 4.51
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico Mineiro
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1189012 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense

Is betting on Atletico Mineiro worth it?

🔵 Atletico Mineiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – profiting $477.90;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$67.90 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $467.40;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$342.60.

Is it worth betting on Fluminense?

🔴 Fluminense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $750.20
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$29.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico Mineiro
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Atletico Mineiro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Atletico Mineiro.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Fluminense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Mineiro x Fluminense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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