Atletico Mineiro x River Plate Betting tips for October 23 in Copa Libertadores
| 📅 23/10/2024 00:30 |
 Atletico Mineiro2.20 |
X 3.10 |
River Plate  3.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Mineiro x River Plate:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!
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Important information for your tip for Atletico Mineiro x River Plate: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $249.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Mineiro x River Plate?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Mineiro x River Plate, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Atletico Mineiro x River Plate for the Copa Libertadores – 23 of October
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🏟️ Atletico Mineiro X River Plate – Copa Libertadores |
When the best bet on Atletico Mineiro x River Plate is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1207665 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Mineiro x River Plate
Is betting on Atletico Mineiro worth it?
🔵 Atletico Mineiro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $420.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – profiting $798.00;
- And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$178.00.
Should you bet on River Plate?
🔴 River Plate: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $648.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Mineiro x River Plate
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Mineiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Mineiro x River Plate
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Atletico Mineiro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Atletico Mineiro.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Mineiro x River Plate
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
