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Home » Predictions » Copa Libertadores » Atletico Nacional Medellin x Nacional De Football Betting tips for April 3 in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, 03 April 2025, 02h00 Copa Libertadores
Atletico Nacional Medellin Atletico Nacional Medellin
PREDICTION Atletico Nacional Medellin wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Nacional De Football Nacional De Football
ODD: @1.76 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Nacional Medellin x Nacional De Football Betting tips for April 3 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Nacional De Football, Thursday, 3/4/2025
📅 3/4/2025
02:00
Atletico Nacional Medellin Atletico Nacional Medellin
1.76
X
3.50
Nacional De Football Nacional De Football
4.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Nacional De Football:

🔮 Atletico Nacional Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Nacional Medellin, you can win up to $880.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Nacional De Football:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nacional De Football in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-56.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Nacional De Football scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Nacional De Football has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico Nacional Medellin x Nacional De Football for the Copa Libertadores – 3 of April

🏟️ Atletico Nacional Medellin X Nacional De Football – Copa Libertadores
📅 3 of April, 2025 – 02:00
🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin – Winning probability: 72.36% | Fair line: 1.38
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.14% | Fair line: 8.24
🔴 Nacional De Football – Winning probability: 15.49% | Fair line: 6.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Nacional Medellin and Nacional De Football.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1294791 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Nacional De Football

Should you bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $547.20;
  • And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$267.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $300.00
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$580.00.

Should you bet on Nacional De Football?

🔴 Nacional De Football: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$370.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Nacional Medellin x Nacional De Football

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Nacional De Football

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Atletico Nacional Medellin, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Nacional De Football.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Nacional De Football

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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