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Home » Predictions » Copa Libertadores » Barcelona Guayaquil x Independiente del Valle Betting tips for April 2 in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, 02 April 2025, 02h00 Copa Libertadores
Barcelona Guayaquil Barcelona Guayaquil
PREDICTION Independiente del Valle Wins Probability 37% 1 X 2
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
ODD: @3.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Barcelona Guayaquil x Independiente del Valle Betting tips for April 2 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for Barcelona Guayaquil x Independiente del Valle, Wednesday, 2/4/2025
📅 2/4/2025
02:00
Barcelona Guayaquil Barcelona Guayaquil
2.20
X
3.10
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Barcelona Guayaquil x Independiente del Valle:

🔮 Barcelona Guayaquil wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona Guayaquil, you can win up to $1100.00!

🔮 Independiente del Valle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente del Valle, you can win up to $1650.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Barcelona Guayaquil x Independiente del Valle:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona Guayaquil in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $130.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente del Valle in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $25.0.
👉 Playing as the home team, Barcelona Guayaquil conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Independiente del Valle.

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Summary

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Analysis from Barcelona Guayaquil x Independiente del Valle for the Copa Libertadores – 2 of April

🏟️ Barcelona Guayaquil X Independiente del Valle – Copa Libertadores
📅 2 of April, 2025 – 02:00
🔵 Barcelona Guayaquil – Winning probability: 49.50% | Fair line: 2.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.58% | Fair line: 7.95
🔴 Independiente del Valle – Winning probability: 37.92% | Fair line: 2.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Barcelona Guayaquil
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Barcelona Guayaquil and Independiente del Valle.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1294595 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Barcelona Guayaquil x Independiente del Valle

Is it a good idea to bet on Barcelona Guayaquil?

🔵 Barcelona Guayaquil: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$100.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $273.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$597.00.

Is betting on Independiente del Valle worth it?

🔴 Independiente del Valle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $874.00;
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$254.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Barcelona Guayaquil x Independiente del Valle

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Barcelona Guayaquil
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Barcelona Guayaquil x Independiente del Valle

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Barcelona Guayaquil, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Barcelona Guayaquil.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Independiente del Valle.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Barcelona Guayaquil x Independiente del Valle

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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