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Home » Predictions » Copa Libertadores » Bolivar x Flamengo Betting tips for August 22 in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, 22 August 2024, 21h30 Copa Libertadores
Bolivar Bolivar
PREDICTION Bolivar wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
Flamengo Flamengo
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Bolivar x Flamengo Betting tips for August 22 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for Bolivar x Flamengo, Thursday, 22/8/2024
📅 22/8/2024
21:30
Bolivar Bolivar
2.10
X
3.60
Flamengo Flamengo
3.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bolivar x Flamengo:

🔮 Bolivar wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bolivar, you can win up to $1050.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Bolivar x Flamengo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Bolivar in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-123.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
👉 Bolivar did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Flamengo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Flamengo as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Bolivar x Flamengo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Bolivar x Flamengo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Bolivar x Flamengo for the Copa Libertadores – 22 of August

🏟️ Bolivar X Flamengo – Copa Libertadores
📅 22 of August, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Bolivar – Winning probability: 81.33% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.29% | Fair line: 9.72
🔴 Flamengo – Winning probability: 8.39% | Fair line: 11.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bolivar
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bolivar and Flamengo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1166230 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bolivar x Flamengo

Is it a good idea to bet on Bolivar?

🔵 Bolivar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $891.00;
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$701.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $260.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$640.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Flamengo?

🔴 Flamengo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $176.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$744.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Bolivar x Flamengo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bolivar
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bolivar x Flamengo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Bolivar and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Bolivar.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Bolivar.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bolivar x Flamengo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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