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Home » Predictions » Copa Libertadores » CA River Plate x Barcelona Guayaquil Betting tips for April 9 in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, 09 April 2025, 00h30 Copa Libertadores
CA River Plate CA River Plate
PREDICTION CA River Plate wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Barcelona Guayaquil Barcelona Guayaquil
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

CA River Plate x Barcelona Guayaquil Betting tips for April 9 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for CA River Plate x Barcelona Guayaquil, Wednesday, 9/4/2025
📅 9/4/2025
00:30
CA River Plate CA River Plate
1.36
X
4.33
Barcelona Guayaquil Barcelona Guayaquil
6.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CA River Plate x Barcelona Guayaquil:

🔮 CA River Plate wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CA River Plate, you can win up to $680.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for CA River Plate x Barcelona Guayaquil:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CA River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona Guayaquil in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $488.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, CA River Plate conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from CA River Plate x Barcelona Guayaquil for the Copa Libertadores – 9 of April

🏟️ CA River Plate X Barcelona Guayaquil – Copa Libertadores
📅 9 of April, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 CA River Plate – Winning probability: 90.09% | Fair line: 1.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.05% | Fair line: 16.52
🔴 Barcelona Guayaquil – Winning probability: 3.85% | Fair line: 25.95
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 CA River Plate
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CA River Plate and Barcelona Guayaquil.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1299412 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for CA River Plate x Barcelona Guayaquil

Should you bet on CA River Plate?

🔵 CA River Plate: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $324.00
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$224.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $199.80
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$740.20.

Should you bet on Barcelona Guayaquil?

🔴 Barcelona Guayaquil: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $230.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$730.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match CA River Plate x Barcelona Guayaquil

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 CA River Plate
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CA River Plate x Barcelona Guayaquil

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 CA River Plate, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 CA River Plate.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CA River Plate x Barcelona Guayaquil

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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