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Home ยป Predictions ยป Copa Libertadores ยป Colo Colo x River Plate Betting tips for September 17 in Copa Libertadores
Tuesday, 17 September 2024, 21h30 Copa Libertadores
Colo Colo Colo Colo
PREDICTION River Plate Wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
River Plate River Plate
ODD: @2.43 Don't miss this prediction!

Colo Colo x River Plate Betting tips for September 17 in Copa Libertadores

Our betting tip for Colo Colo x River Plate, Tuesday, 17/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 17/9/2024
21:30
Colo Colo Colo Colo
3.00
X
3.00
River Plate River Plate
2.43

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Colo Colo x River Plate:

๐Ÿ”ฎ River Plate wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on River Plate, you can win up to $1215.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Colo Colo x River Plate:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Colo Colo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $348.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on River Plate in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Colo Colo scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against River Plate, Colo Colo scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 River Plate matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Colo Colo x River Plate, with Colo Colo as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Colo Colo conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against River Plate.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Colo Colo is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, River Plate has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Colo Colo x River Plate for the Copa Libertadores – 17 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Colo Colo X River Plate – Copa Libertadores
๐Ÿ“… 17 of September, 2024 – 21:30
๐Ÿ”ต Colo Colo – Winning probability: 27.19% | Fair line: 3.68
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.17% | Fair line: 3.55
๐Ÿ”ด River Plate – Winning probability: 44.64% | Fair line: 2.24
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Colo Colo
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Colo Colo x River Plate right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1182317 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Colo Colo x River Plate

Is it a good idea to bet on Colo Colo?

๐Ÿ”ต Colo Colo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$190.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $560.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$160.00.

Is it worth betting on River Plate?

๐Ÿ”ด River Plate: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $643.50;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$93.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Colo Colo x River Plate

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Colo Colo
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Colo Colo x River Plate

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Colo Colo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Colo Colo.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Colo Colo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Colo Colo x River Plate

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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