Fluminense x Atletico Mineiro Betting tips for September 18 in Copa Libertadores
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18/9/2024 19:00 |
 Fluminense2.40 |
X 3.08 |
Atletico Mineiro  3.00 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Fluminense x Atletico Mineiro:
๐ฎ Fluminense wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fluminense, you can win up to $1200.00!
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The main points for the tip for Fluminense x Atletico Mineiro: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Fluminense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $175.0. |
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Analysis from Fluminense x Atletico Mineiro for the Copa Libertadores – 18 of September
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๐๏ธ Fluminense X Atletico Mineiro – Copa Libertadores |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Fluminense and Atletico Mineiro.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1183835 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Fluminense x Atletico Mineiro
Is it worth betting on Fluminense?
๐ต Fluminense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 520 times – profiting $728.00;
- And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$248.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $436.80
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$353.20.
Is it worth betting on Atletico Mineiro?
๐ด Atletico Mineiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$190.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Fluminense x Atletico Mineiro
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Fluminense
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fluminense x Atletico Mineiro
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Fluminense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Fluminense.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fluminense x Atletico Mineiro
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
